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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+9.10vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+7.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+3.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+4.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-0.60vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-0.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.35vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-1.23vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.74-5.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-0.11vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-5.92vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.71-8.73vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.26vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.91Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.64Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.89University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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11.08Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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14.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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16.19SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Will La Dow | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 30.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.