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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+8.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+9.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+7.29vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+7.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+3.40vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74+0.72vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-1.76vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21+1.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-2.56vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-4.41vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-6.00vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-7.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.90vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.08-3.05vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.26Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.29Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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7.46Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.66Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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16.1SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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15.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 30.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 29.9% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.