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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+7.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+3.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+5.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+2.25vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60+1.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49+1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-2.38vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.05vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-1.26vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.58vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-5.89vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.50-5.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-8.39vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston4.09-10.53vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.08-3.10vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.72Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.38Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.19Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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15.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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15.9University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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16.18SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Tara | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 28.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.