← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.31vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+5.38vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.73+6.16vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+7.28vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.71+4.08vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.36vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.60+2.90vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.38+2.41vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.50+0.97vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.74-1.05vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.48-0.79vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston4.09-4.38vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.84-4.17vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.49-3.89vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.21vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.62vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.21-5.75vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-9.08vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.08-3.08vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.38Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.16Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.28Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.08Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.9Harvard University3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.41Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
-
9.97Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
-
8.95Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.62College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
8.83University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.11Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
-
14.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.25Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
15.92University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
16.18SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John Rolander | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 30.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.