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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+7.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+6.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+3.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+6.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+3.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+3.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.05vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21+2.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48+0.16vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.98vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.20vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-4.02vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.74-6.02vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-4.78vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.05-0.97vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.38-7.35vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.60-9.47vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.08-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.16Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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14.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.22Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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16.03SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.65Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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16.08University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| John Rolander | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Will La Dow | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 30.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.