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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+7.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+5.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.76vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+5.52vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+3.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-0.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+1.48vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24+1.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-3.27vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-3.69vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-3.70vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-1.13vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.48-7.79vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.96vs Predicted
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20Boston College3.73-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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10.36Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.28Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.87University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.21Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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16.04SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 27.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 32.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.