← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.81+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.83+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.51+1.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.18-0.09vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.27-0.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-0.40-1.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-1.36-0.45vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-1.63-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Western Washington University1.8153.4%1st Place
-
3.04Western Washington University0.8316.8%1st Place
-
4.95Western Washington University-0.515.8%1st Place
-
3.91University of Washington0.189.8%1st Place
-
4.92Oregon State University-0.275.1%1st Place
-
4.9University of Oregon-0.405.2%1st Place
-
6.55University of Oregon-1.362.2%1st Place
-
6.88University of Oregon-1.631.1%1st Place
-
8.11Gonzaga University-2.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 53.4% | 27.7% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 16.8% | 24.8% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.8% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 26.6% | 13.2% |
| Emily Harding | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 30.7% | 17.3% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.