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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+8.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.43vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+6.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+7.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+4.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+3.34vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+3.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-0.66vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49+0.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.32vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.09-5.24vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-5.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.73vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.16vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-8.11vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.38-7.27vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.08-3.07vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.21Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.23Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.92Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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14.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.73Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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15.93University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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16.21SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 28.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.