← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+6.39vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.36vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.38+7.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.84+4.45vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.76vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.60+3.72vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston4.09+0.66vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.09vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.50+0.94vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.74-1.01vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.49-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.71-2.68vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.24-1.39vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.08+1.94vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.61vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.48-5.90vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.73-8.20vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.84vs Predicted
-
19Connecticut College3.21-7.67vs Predicted
-
20Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.73Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.72Harvard University3.600.0%1st Place
-
7.66College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
9.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.94Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
-
8.99Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.19Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.61Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
15.94University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
11.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
-
10.1Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.8Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
16.16SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.33Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
15.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Will La Dow | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Charles Bocklet | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 28.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 31.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.