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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+8.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+8.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+5.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.76vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+3.06vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+3.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84+0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.29vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-1.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-0.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.38-1.07vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.09-5.27vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08+0.79vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-4.67vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.95vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-6.64vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.14vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.06Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.23Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.93Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University3.600.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.36Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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14.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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16.18SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Will La Dow | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 29.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.