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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+7.78vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.99vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+2.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84+1.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60+1.43vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21+2.35vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-1.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.11vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-2.68vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.05+3.29vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-3.97vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.65vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.21vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-7.07vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-6.61vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.49-8.91vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.08-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.78Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.37College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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16.29SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.03Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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14.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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16.13University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 32.8% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| John Rolander | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.