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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.41vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+5.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+5.08vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+4.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.11vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.73vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-1.75vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21+1.42vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-1.83vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-0.45vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.50-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-5.58vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-5.35vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-5.94vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-5.82vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.00vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.98vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.08-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.08Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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10.72Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.25College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.55Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.45Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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15.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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16.02SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.