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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+8.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+9.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+6.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+7.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.60vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-0.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-5.04vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89+0.01vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-3.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.42-0.21vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.01-3.77vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.39vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-3.41vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.71-6.54vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.54Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.01Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.79Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.23College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.46Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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17.18SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| Walter Florio | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.