← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.32vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.89+9.76vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.77+4.92vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.87vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.93+6.49vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.38+3.56vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.48+2.35vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.17vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.09+1.72vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.47-1.86vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.53-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.24-6.92vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-2.36vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.42-5.72vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.42-2.21vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.01-5.88vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.44-0.84vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.24-4.51vs Predicted
-
20Connecticut College2.71-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
11.76Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
-
11.49Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.56Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.35Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.72University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.14Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.96Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
6.08Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
13.79Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
11.12College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
17.16SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
14.49University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
12.63Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Charles Miller | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 46.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| Walter Florio | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.