← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+10.63vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+3.82vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.42+6.40vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.59vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.81+7.06vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.53+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.42+7.14vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.22vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.77vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.93+1.59vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.48-1.87vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.77-4.04vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.89-0.84vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.09-3.24vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.47-5.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin2.24-1.51vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.38-7.62vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.01-6.64vs Predicted
-
19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-9.13vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.82Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
9.4Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
12.06Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.9Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
14.14Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.23U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.59Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.13Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.96Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
12.16Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
9.1Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
14.49University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.38Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.36College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
-
17.21SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.