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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+6.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.81vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.63vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+5.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.47vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-0.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81+1.15vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.01-0.50vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-3.14vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-4.15vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-4.43vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.42-3.36vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.22vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-4.57vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.5College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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11.57Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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13.64Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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17.2SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.