← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.81+0.78vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.83+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-0.27+1.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-1.36+2.52vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.51+0.02vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.18-2.04vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-2.69+1.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-1.63-1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-0.40-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.78Western Washington University1.8150.7%1st Place
-
2.95Western Washington University0.8318.6%1st Place
-
4.82Oregon State University-0.275.5%1st Place
-
6.52University of Oregon-1.362.1%1st Place
-
5.02Western Washington University-0.515.5%1st Place
-
3.96University of Washington0.1810.3%1st Place
-
8.16Gonzaga University-2.690.4%1st Place
-
6.89University of Oregon-1.631.5%1st Place
-
4.9University of Oregon-0.405.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 50.7% | 30.6% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.6% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.5% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 22.9% | 26.6% | 12.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 64.0% |
| Emily Harding | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 31.1% | 18.4% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.