← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.89+10.69vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+7.28vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+2.97vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.77+3.76vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.66vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.01+5.38vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.38+2.87vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.18vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-0.06vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.09+0.88vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.93+0.64vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.79vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.81-0.50vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.49vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.47-5.91vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.53-7.20vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.80vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.42-4.19vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.24-4.56vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.69Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
9.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.97Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.76Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.38College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.87Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
-
8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.88University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
11.64Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
12.5Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.09Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.8Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
13.81Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
14.44University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
17.2SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.