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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+8.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+6.08vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+3.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.01+6.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+4.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+5.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38+1.28vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+2.56vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.89+1.76vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-2.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.02vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.44+3.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.63vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-1.59vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.47-8.14vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.42-4.10vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-10.73vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.16College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.28Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.56Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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17.15SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.9Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Charles Miller | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 47.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.