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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.01+10.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.79vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+6.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+5.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42+7.89vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.24+7.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.59vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+2.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.78vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-0.84vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-5.24vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.48-5.98vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.45vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.70vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-6.29vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.95vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.09-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.19College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.89Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.71Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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17.05SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Killian | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Charles Miller | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 45.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.