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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+7.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56+9.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.52vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.66vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+4.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+3.78vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-0.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.83vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-3.92vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.93-2.59vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.67vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.96vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.24-2.68vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.89-6.27vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.48-10.17vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.42-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.41College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.4Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.41Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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16.96SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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11.73Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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13.81Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Charles Miller | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 46.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 12.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.