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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+7.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+7.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+6.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01+7.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+4.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.68vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+2.00vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+3.70vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.65vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-1.06vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81+1.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.56+0.37vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.42-1.50vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.93vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.24-11.34vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-3.57vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-10.75vs Predicted
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20Stanford University2.93-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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13.5Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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16.93SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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5.66Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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14.43University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.6Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 45.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.