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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+6.47vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+6.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+9.64vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+4.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+2.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53+0.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+2.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.56+3.03vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-1.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.63vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.31vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.93-2.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-3.46vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.53vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.77vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-3.49vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.01-8.07vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.64Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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9.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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14.51University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.93College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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17.12SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.