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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+7.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.91vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+8.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+4.91vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42+5.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.84vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.89+1.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-1.94vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.90vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-1.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-4.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-5.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.45vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.01-5.97vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.41vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.95vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.24-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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13.58Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.9Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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9.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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11.03College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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17.05SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Long | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Charles Miller | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 47.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.