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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+10.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+6.96vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+4.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+5.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.48vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-0.09vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+1.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81+1.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-1.89vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.44+3.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-5.73vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.42-2.29vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.68vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.01-6.75vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College3.53-10.34vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.24-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.6Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.89Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.52Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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12.1Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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17.11SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.71Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.25College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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14.68University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 48.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.