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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+7.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+7.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+3.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+6.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+2.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+3.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38+0.37vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.01+1.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-3.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.81-1.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-1.51vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.42-3.39vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-6.32vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-10.58vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.89Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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11.23College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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13.61Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.68Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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17.19SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.