Race 1A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Libby Reeg 13.2% 16.4% 16.3% 16.1% 13.5% 12.2% 7.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah Thayer 13.9% 14.2% 14.9% 15.3% 13.1% 11.9% 8.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elliot Lee 32.0% 25.6% 17.3% 11.9% 7.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Diamond 3.3% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 9.5% 15.2% 15.6% 18.4% 12.2% 5.2%
Kate Cavataio 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 9.0% 13.6% 14.4% 16.7% 14.7% 7.0%
Austin Lee 7.6% 9.2% 10.8% 10.8% 12.2% 15.2% 12.6% 9.3% 7.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Zachary Li 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 12.2% 14.5% 12.7% 11.3% 11.4% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4%
Justin Edick 1.8% 0.8% 2.0% 1.6% 3.6% 4.8% 5.4% 11.6% 15.7% 22.5% 30.2%
Jay Weber 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 5.8% 7.9% 10.8% 15.8% 18.3% 17.1% 10.2%
Jacob Henley 13.6% 13.8% 13.7% 15.1% 13.8% 10.8% 9.0% 6.0% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Patrick Burns 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 6.8% 10.0% 24.2% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.