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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.52+3.49vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.43+2.49vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.01+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.11-0.87vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-2.13vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.19-0.19vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.50-0.46vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.27+0.05vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.32-2.91vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.64-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.49Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.51Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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3.87Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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6.81Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.54Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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9.05Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.09Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.5Ohio State University-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 32.7% | 25.0% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Li | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lee | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Thayer | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 15.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Jay Weber | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% |
| Justin Edick | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 34.3% |
| Kate Cavataio | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Burns | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 22.7% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.