Race 3A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Austin Lee 5.9% 9.4% 9.0% 9.7% 14.0% 14.2% 14.5% 12.3% 6.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Elliot Lee 35.0% 23.3% 16.5% 12.5% 7.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Cavataio 3.8% 2.4% 5.2% 3.8% 6.9% 7.6% 10.4% 14.9% 18.8% 19.1% 7.1%
Zachary Li 6.1% 6.8% 8.3% 9.6% 12.8% 13.9% 13.3% 12.5% 10.3% 5.8% 0.6%
Jacob Henley 11.4% 13.9% 14.3% 13.3% 12.0% 13.5% 9.2% 6.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Libby Reeg 14.6% 16.6% 16.5% 15.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.2% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Hannah Thayer 13.3% 15.9% 14.0% 15.1% 14.2% 9.0% 9.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Benjamin Diamond 4.3% 2.7% 5.8% 6.6% 8.6% 9.9% 12.7% 15.3% 15.6% 13.1% 5.4%
Patrick Burns 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 2.6% 5.8% 10.8% 18.9% 51.7%
Justin Edick 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 3.1% 2.5% 4.3% 4.9% 9.1% 14.0% 27.0% 31.0%
Christian McAlvey 3.6% 6.7% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 11.1% 13.1% 15.5% 13.8% 8.8% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.