Race 4A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Libby Reeg 13.3% 16.9% 16.5% 14.7% 15.2% 10.7% 6.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Benjamin Diamond 3.4% 4.3% 4.7% 7.3% 6.4% 10.0% 12.1% 15.6% 15.5% 16.1% 4.6%
Zachary Li 6.4% 7.8% 7.8% 10.1% 12.1% 12.5% 13.7% 12.7% 9.8% 5.9% 1.2%
Jacob Henley 9.4% 12.9% 13.8% 14.7% 13.9% 12.9% 11.6% 5.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Austin Lee 8.5% 8.7% 11.7% 9.3% 12.1% 11.5% 13.2% 12.5% 7.6% 3.9% 1.0%
Elliot Lee 33.9% 25.0% 16.1% 11.9% 6.7% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Burns 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 6.6% 10.7% 20.5% 48.4%
Christian McAlvey 4.4% 5.1% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 11.6% 13.2% 14.1% 15.5% 9.2% 3.1%
Kate Cavataio 3.6% 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 7.1% 9.1% 9.9% 15.1% 19.3% 15.0% 8.7%
Hannah Thayer 15.1% 13.2% 14.6% 13.6% 13.1% 12.0% 9.0% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Justin Edick 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 7.5% 13.5% 26.7% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.