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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-0.43+4.54vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+1.89vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.37vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+4.07vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.32+1.41vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.97-0.53vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.19-1.02vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.52-3.27vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.01-5.66vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.64-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.89Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.62Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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9.07Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.41Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.47Michigan State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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6.98Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.73Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.34Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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9.57Ohio State University-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Libby Reeg | 15.5% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 30.6% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thayer | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Justin Edick | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 27.4% | 33.6% |
| Kate Cavataio | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Christian McAlvey | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Li | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 14.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Burns | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.