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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.56vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+1.87vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.38vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.97+1.58vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.01-1.52vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.32+0.21vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.19-1.00vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.52-3.30vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.27-0.93vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.64-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.87Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.58Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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6.58Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.48Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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7.21Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.0Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.7Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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9.07Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.57Ohio State University-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 32.8% | 24.4% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.3% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Austin Lee | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Thayer | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Christian McAlvey | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Cavataio | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Zachary Li | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Justin Edick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 26.8% | 32.1% |
| Patrick Burns | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.