Race 8A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Henley 10.8% 12.4% 13.6% 12.9% 16.0% 12.7% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Christian McAlvey 5.0% 4.2% 5.8% 7.7% 9.5% 10.2% 12.4% 17.9% 13.7% 10.1% 3.5%
Elliot Lee 31.6% 23.7% 19.4% 11.0% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Thayer 12.1% 13.8% 13.0% 14.2% 15.5% 12.9% 7.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Benjamin Diamond 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 5.7% 10.0% 11.5% 14.3% 17.7% 15.3% 5.3%
Libby Reeg 15.3% 16.8% 16.5% 14.5% 11.0% 9.5% 7.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Kate Cavataio 4.6% 4.5% 3.6% 6.6% 6.5% 8.8% 11.0% 13.9% 19.0% 15.4% 6.1%
Austin Lee 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 13.8% 11.5% 10.6% 12.5% 11.0% 8.2% 3.3% 0.8%
Zachary Li 6.9% 8.8% 7.8% 9.1% 11.9% 13.6% 14.8% 11.1% 9.1% 5.2% 1.7%
Patrick Burns 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.1% 4.1% 5.3% 10.5% 18.1% 52.1%
Justin Edick 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 4.4% 7.0% 7.9% 12.4% 28.8% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.