Race 9A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliot Lee 32.2% 24.3% 18.4% 13.3% 6.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Henley 11.4% 13.4% 13.1% 15.3% 13.5% 13.0% 7.9% 7.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Austin Lee 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.1% 13.1% 13.0% 14.3% 11.7% 9.3% 4.2% 0.5%
Benjamin Diamond 3.0% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 8.0% 9.0% 12.1% 15.8% 17.3% 14.6% 6.9%
Libby Reeg 16.2% 15.3% 16.4% 14.5% 11.9% 10.1% 8.1% 4.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Zachary Li 5.8% 9.0% 9.0% 10.2% 11.7% 13.3% 13.7% 12.8% 8.1% 5.0% 1.4%
Hannah Thayer 15.2% 15.5% 13.7% 14.6% 12.9% 12.5% 7.3% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Christian McAlvey 4.8% 4.5% 8.0% 7.6% 9.8% 11.9% 12.7% 13.8% 13.9% 10.6% 2.4%
Kate Cavataio 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.9% 7.0% 12.2% 15.5% 17.8% 15.4% 8.3%
Patrick Burns 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 6.4% 10.6% 18.8% 50.3%
Justin Edick 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 7.3% 14.3% 28.5% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.