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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+0.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.83+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+0.94vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51+0.99vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.27-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.63+0.93vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-2.69+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.40-3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.36-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Western Washington University1.8151.6%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University0.8317.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Washington0.1810.1%1st Place
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4.99Western Washington University-0.515.5%1st Place
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4.8Oregon State University-0.275.7%1st Place
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6.93University of Oregon-1.632.0%1st Place
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8.13Gonzaga University-2.690.7%1st Place
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4.96University of Oregon-0.404.7%1st Place
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6.47University of Oregon-1.362.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 51.6% | 27.0% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 17.3% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.1% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Emily Harding | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 33.2% | 18.6% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 63.4% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.