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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.58+3.80vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.37+4.56vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59-0.38vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.99+1.88vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.30+1.36vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.00-2.44vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.29vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20-2.72vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.80-0.80vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.16-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.56Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.62Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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5.88Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.56Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.71Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.29Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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9.2Hope College-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.73Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 30.9% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| David Resnick | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Harris | 19.3% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Weesies | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Cinal | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 28.5% | 36.0% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 23.5% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.