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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+1.55vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.58+2.70vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.00+0.65vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.99+1.87vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37+1.54vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.30+0.45vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.28vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20-2.71vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.80-0.80vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.16-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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4.7Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.65Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.87Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.54Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.45Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.72Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.33Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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9.2Hope College-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.71Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 33.5% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Harris | 17.6% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| David Resnick | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Cinal | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 28.2% | 35.4% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 22.3% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.