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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+1.63vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.00+1.57vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.88+2.72vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.99+1.99vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.13vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.30+0.58vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.16vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.88-2.59vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20-2.62vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.80-0.73vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.16-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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3.57Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.72Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.99Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.87Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.58Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.84Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.41Northern Michigan University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.27Hope College-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.74Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 31.8% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Harris | 18.9% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Ritter | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Addison Amstutz | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| David Resnick | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Riley Sorber | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Doyle | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Cinal | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 29.4% | 36.2% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 9.8% | 23.0% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.