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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+1.66vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.00+1.59vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.99+2.98vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.01vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.09+1.03vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.88-0.42vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.30-0.64vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.80+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20-2.65vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-3.16-0.23vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.88-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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3.59Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.98Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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5.01Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.03Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.58Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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9.27Hope College-2.800.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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9.77Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.4Northern Michigan University-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 31.8% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Harris | 18.9% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Ritter | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Addison Amstutz | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| David Resnick | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Cinal | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 31.1% | 34.5% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 21.3% | 53.4% |
| Riley Sorber | 6.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.