Race 5B

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Rantanen 32.9% 23.5% 18.0% 12.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennie Werner 7.2% 9.4% 10.4% 10.4% 13.4% 12.4% 13.1% 10.3% 8.6% 3.9% 0.9%
David Resnick 5.1% 5.8% 6.7% 5.9% 9.1% 11.4% 11.6% 15.8% 15.3% 10.3% 3.0%
Nicholas Harris 17.5% 18.3% 17.5% 15.6% 11.4% 8.3% 5.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Jacob Weesies 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 8.5% 11.2% 10.8% 12.6% 13.0% 12.4% 6.8% 1.2%
Caroline Ritter 6.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.4% 12.0% 11.3% 13.4% 12.3% 9.7% 6.2% 1.4%
Addison Amstutz 11.9% 12.3% 13.3% 15.0% 12.0% 11.5% 9.9% 7.3% 4.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Kyle Doyle 6.3% 6.1% 7.3% 11.7% 8.8% 13.2% 12.2% 12.7% 11.9% 8.6% 1.2%
Cortney Kingsley 4.0% 5.9% 6.1% 7.2% 9.8% 11.1% 11.5% 13.2% 15.6% 10.6% 5.0%
Joseph Cinal 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 5.3% 6.8% 11.4% 28.4% 35.7%
Olivia Kruczynska 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 8.9% 22.3% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.