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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.99+4.77vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.58+2.69vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59-0.39vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.20+1.17vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.30+0.40vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.00-3.61vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.37-1.58vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.09-2.98vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-3.16-0.27vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.80-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.69Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.61Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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5.62Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.4Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.39Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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6.42Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.02Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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9.73Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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9.18Hope College-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Ritter | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 10.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 30.8% | 25.8% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Doyle | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| David Resnick | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Harris | 22.6% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Weesies | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 54.5% |
| Joseph Cinal | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 31.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.