← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University-0.58+4.05vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.00+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University0.59-0.28vs Predicted
-
4Hope College-0.99+2.17vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.88+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-1.09+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-1.30-0.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-1.20-1.70vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-0.88-3.27vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University-3.16-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-2.00-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.66Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
-
2.72Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
-
6.17Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.7Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
6.18Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.5Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
-
6.3University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
-
5.73Northern Michigan University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
9.93Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.05Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Harris | 19.2% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 30.5% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| David Resnick | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Doyle | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Riley Sorber | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 64.9% |
| Dylan Sabo | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.