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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.58+4.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.99+3.10vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.00-0.21vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.88+0.68vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.30+0.69vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.01vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.88-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20-2.48vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.00-1.91vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.16-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.64Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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6.1Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.79Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.68Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.69Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.99Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.54Northern Michigan University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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8.09Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.93Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 7.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 33.7% | 23.1% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Harris | 16.2% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| David Resnick | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Riley Sorber | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 27.1% | 15.6% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.