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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.99+4.91vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.37+4.71vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.00+0.70vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88+1.76vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.18vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.59-3.42vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.20-1.82vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.30-2.36vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.00-2.03vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.16-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.71Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.7Michigan Technological University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.82Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.58Michigan State University0.590.3%1st Place
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5.81Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.64Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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7.97Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.9Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Ritter | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Harris | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 33.6% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| David Resnick | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 26.4% | 14.4% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 13.4% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.