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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+0.81vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.83+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+1.00vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40-0.10vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.36-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.63-1.28vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Western Washington University1.8150.6%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University0.8318.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington0.189.5%1st Place
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4.81Oregon State University-0.275.6%1st Place
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4.9University of Oregon-0.405.7%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University-0.515.7%1st Place
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6.57University of Oregon-1.361.8%1st Place
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6.72University of Oregon-1.632.3%1st Place
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8.19Gonzaga University-2.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 50.6% | 27.8% | 14.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.2% | 26.2% | 23.4% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.5% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 27.1% | 13.2% |
| Emily Harding | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 29.4% | 17.2% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.