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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+5.64vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+7.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16+4.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.81+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19+8.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-2.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59-1.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-0.96vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.03+1.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-5.14vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.70-5.98vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.66-3.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-8.26vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.32-0.19vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.16-1.61vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.28-6.45vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.36-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.68Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.14Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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11.49Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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14.81Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.39McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.55Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matt Safford | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 37.5% |
| Andries Feder | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 28.5% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.