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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+5.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+6.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+1.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+1.22vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-1.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81-1.36vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.66+0.09vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-5.12vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.75-6.21vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.19+0.59vs Predicted
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14Bentley University1.03-2.62vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.16-0.55vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.28-5.48vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.32-2.21vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.36-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.64Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.74Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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11.38Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.45McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.52Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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14.79Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 15.6% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Andries Feder | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 29.2% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 34.9% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.