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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+5.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+3.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+3.15vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.66+4.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-2.48vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52+1.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-3.58vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-3.98vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-2.94vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.75-6.13vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.03-1.76vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.28-3.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-1.70vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.16-1.65vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-3.33vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.32-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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9.76Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.42Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.24Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.6Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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13.3Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.35McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.82Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Matt Safford | 11.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| Andries Feder | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 29.1% |
| George Williams | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.