← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.20+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.39+4.71vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+5.14vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+1.96vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.16+2.38vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.81-0.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.66+2.36vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.59-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.70-3.00vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University1.03+1.26vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.75-5.15vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut0.19+1.62vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.52-3.17vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.36-0.72vs Predicted
-
16McGill University-0.16-1.64vs Predicted
-
17Bates College1.28-6.38vs Predicted
-
18Wesleyan University-0.32-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
-
6.71Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
-
5.96Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.38Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.57Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.06Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.0Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
-
11.26Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
5.85Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
13.62University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.83Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
13.28Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
-
14.36McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
10.62Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
-
14.79Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 19.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Matt Safford | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 16.1% |
| Ben Brown | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% |
| Andries Feder | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 28.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.