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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+6.37vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+7.63vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.75+2.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+2.92vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.36+8.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81-0.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-1.23vs Predicted
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9Bentley University1.03+2.09vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-3.64vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.66-1.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-5.92vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.28-2.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-1.28vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.16-1.62vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.32-2.20vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.20-13.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.63Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.65Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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13.06Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.09Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.45Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.38McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.8Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Safford | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 12.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Marcus Abate | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| Andries Feder | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 28.8% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 35.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.